Advanced AI and Machine Learning Techniques for Predictive Analytics in Annuity Products: Enhancing Risk Assessment and Pricing Accuracy

Authors

  • Jegatheeswari Perumalsamy Athene Annuity and Life company Author
  • Chandrashekar Althati Medalogix, USA Author
  • Lavanya Shanmugam Tata Consultancy Services, USA Author

Keywords:

Annuity Products, Predictive Analytics, Machine Learning

Abstract

Annuities provide retirement income, but their design and pricing are determined by risk and mortality prediction. Although consistent, conventional actuarial methods seldom include market volatility or personal risk profiles. Examined are advanced artificial intelligence and machine learning tools to enhance annuity prediction analytics for pricing and risk assessment.
The research begins with demographics, stationary death, and annuity pricing. Examined is then the theoretical foundation of artificial intelligence and machine learning techniques like Random Forests and unsupervised tools like k-means clustering as well as Gradient Boosting Machines (GBMs). From complex data sources like financial histories and medical records, RNNs and CNNs find latent trends and improve risk prediction.
This work finds, modifies, generates model training data via feature engineering. To improve risk granularity, the paper investigates feature engineering annuity pricing utilizing socioeconomic, lifestyle, and healthcare use data.

References

[1] Wang, S., et al. "Federated learning for privacy-preserving mobile health monitoring." IEEE Intelligent Systems 35.6 (2020): 14-21.

[2] Wienke, A., et al. "Mortality prediction using machine learning: a comparison of survival analysis methods." German Demographic Research (2008): 265-290.

[3] Li, J., et al. "Application of machine learning to mortality prediction for life insurance underwriting." European Journal of Operational Research 227.3 (2013): 510-518.

[4] Yang, X. R., et al. "A boosting ensemble learning approach for mortality prediction with administrative claims data." Insurance: Mathematics and Economics 80 (2018): 170-179.

[5] Lundberg, S., et al. "Locally interpretable model-agnostic explanations for machine learning." arXiv preprint arXiv:1703.01363 (2017).

[6] Biecek, P., et al. "Explaining complex statistical models: A case study of credit scoring." Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series C (Applied Statistics) 56.2 (2007): 295-314.

[7] Ribeiro, M. T., et al. "Why should we explain black box models? An adversarial view of causality." arXiv preprint arXiv:1605.07874 (2016).

[8] Guyon, I., et al. "Machine learning for personalized insurance." Pattern Recognition Letters 31.8 (2010): 805-814.

[9] Waegeman, W., et al. "Rating with regression trees and survival analysis." Insurance: Mathematics and Economics 33.2 (2003): 285-297.

[10] Holmes, T., et al. "Learning propensity scores for cost analysis and optimal treatment allocation." Statistics in Medicine 24.15 (2005): 2305-2320.

[11] Ahmed, H., et al. "A hybrid approach for insurance fraud detection using machine learning." 2017 11th International Conference on Computer Science & Information Technology (CSIT). IEEE, 2017.

[12] Hassan, M. F., et al. "Early detection of lapse in life insurance using machine learning." 2017 International Conference on Computing, Communication, Control and Automation (C5-CCA). IEEE, 2017.

[13] Zhou, L., et al. "Customer churn prediction in banking industry using neural networks." Expert Systems with Applications 36.7 (2009): 11878-11889.

[14] Chen, Y., et al. "Customer relationship management for insurance using chatbot and knowledge graph." 2018 IEEE International Conference on Fuzzy Systems (FUZZ-IEEE). IEEE, 2018.

[15] Xiao, Y., et al. "Application of deep learning in medical image analysis for insurance claim processing." 2017 International Conference on Machine Learning and Cybernetics (ICMLC). Vol. 1. IEEE, 2017.

[16] Zhang, S., et al. "An overview of AI in insurance." Journal of Insurance Medicine 50.4 (2018): 367.

[17] Li, S., et al. "Data privacy and security in financial big data: A survey." ACM Computing Surveys (CSUR) 51.5 (2018): 1-37.

[18] Fan, J., et al. "Privacy-preserving deep learning on medical images: A survey." arXiv preprint arXiv:1804.02962 (2018).

Downloads

Published

19-10-2022

How to Cite

[1]
Jegatheeswari Perumalsamy, Chandrashekar Althati, and Lavanya Shanmugam, “Advanced AI and Machine Learning Techniques for Predictive Analytics in Annuity Products: Enhancing Risk Assessment and Pricing Accuracy ”, J. of Art. Int. Research, vol. 2, no. 2, pp. 51–82, Oct. 2022, Accessed: Jun. 09, 2025. [Online]. Available: https://tsbpublisher.org/jair/article/view/24